{"id":1766,"date":"2013-11-15T19:35:48","date_gmt":"2013-11-16T01:35:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/?p=1766"},"modified":"2013-11-15T19:38:44","modified_gmt":"2013-11-16T01:38:44","slug":"d-iii-final-week-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/2013\/11\/15\/d-iii-final-week-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"D-III: Final Week 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Things are more cut and dried in D-III than they were in D-II, thanks to the fact that D-III actually has automatic bids. That means that we can outline actual scenarios with absolute certainty, and they won&#8217;t be so complex you need an abacus to sort them out. Other than some brief thoughts, I&#8217;m not going to try and sort out the at-large bids; you can go visit our pals at <a href=\"http:\/\/d3football.com\" target=\"_blank\">d3football.com<\/a> for that. They&#8217;re the experts.<\/p>\n<p>So we&#8217;ll get right to it, since we&#8217;ve got 28 conferences to sort out here after the jump. Teams in <strong>bold<\/strong> are already in the playoff field.<br \/>\n<!--more--><\/p>\n<h3>American Southwest<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Mary Hardin-Baylor<\/strong> (9-0\/5-0) has secured the autobid and a share of the conference title. They play at Mississippi College (4-5\/4-1) Saturday, but the Choctaws are not eligible for the post-season since they&#8217;re in the process of moving to Division II. That doesn&#8217;t affect their ability to claim a share of the conference title (and the knowledge that they&#8217;d have won the tiebreaker), though. If UMHB loses, Louisiana College (6-3\/4-1) can also grab a share with a win at Hardin-Simmons.<\/p>\n<h3>Centennial<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Johns Hopkins<\/strong> (9-0\/8-0) has already won the outright title, as they hold a two-game lead over Muhlenberg (7-2\/6-2).<\/p>\n<h3>College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin<\/h3>\n<p><strong>North Central (IL)<\/strong> (9-0\/6-0) grabbed the autobid with a 35-16 win over Wheaton (IL) (7-2\/4-2) last week. That also excluded Wheaton from sharing the crown. Illinois Wesleyan (8-1\/5-1) hosts 3-6 Elmhurst; a win combined with a North Central loss at home to Augustana (IL) (5-4\/3-3) would split the championship, and would likely secure an at-large bid for IWU as well.<\/p>\n<h3>Eastern Collegiate Football Conference<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Gallaudet<\/strong> (9-0\/6-0) locked up a playoff berth last week, the first-ever bid for the nation&#8217;s <em>de facto<\/em> national university for the deaf. They visit New York Maritime (4-5\/4-2) with a chance to run the table and win the trophy outright. If they falter, Norwich (6-3\/5-1) can snake a share of the honors with an alm0st-certain win at Castleton State (1-9\/0-6).<\/p>\n<h3>Empire 8<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ithaca<\/strong> (8-1\/6-1) has sealed the autobid, and is done with conference play. They&#8217;ll host Cortland State (5-4) in the annual Cortaca Jug rivalry game on Saturday. Alfred (7-2\/5-1) can claim a share of the title with a win over Saint John Fisher (7-2\/4-2); that game&#8217;s important for other reasons as well, as the winner may be in line for one of the very few at-large playoff bids.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Heartland<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Finally, we run into a conference whose autobid is still up in the air. Franklin (6-3\/6-1) blew their shot at clinching the autobid last week when they inexplicably lost to Bluffton (3-6\/3-4). The door is now open for Rose-Hulman (6-3\/6-1), who will travel to Earlham (2-7\/1-6). They need to win, and they almost certainly will. They also need Franklin to lose at Hanover (5-4\/5-2). That&#8217;s certainly within the realm of possibility, as Hanover has reeled off five straight wins after starting the season 0-4. There would be a four-way tie for the conference title should both Rose-Hulman and Franklin lose, as Hanover would move to 6-2 and Mount Saint Joseph (6-3\/6-2) &#8212; who hosts Thomas More (8-1) in the annual Bridge Bowl rivalry game &#8212; is done with conference play. Franklin, however, would claim the autobid in that instance. In games within the tied group, Franklin and Rose-Hulman would be 2-1 while Mount Saint Joseph and Hanover would be 1-2; Franklin would win the tiebreaker then based on their win over Rose-Hulman.<\/p>\n<h3>Iowa<\/h3>\n<p>Another somewhat convoluted situation in Corn Country, and every conference game this week could matter. Wartburg (7-2\/5-1) already has one hand on the trophy. A nearly-certain win at Loras (1-8\/0-6) would put the issue to rest. If they lose, though&#8230; well, now. Things get interesting. Coe (7-2\/4-2) visits Central (IA) (5-4\/3-3), Simpson (IA) (6-3\/4-2) travels to Luther (2-7\/1-5), and Dubuque (5-4\/4-2) is at Buena Vista (3-6\/3-3). That means that in order to sort this out, we&#8217;ve got to get our hands dirty.<\/p>\n<p>First things first: the IIAC uses the Rose Bowl rule as its second tiebreak, which clears out a lot of confusion; it also means you can skip this paragraph if you don&#8217;t want the nitty-gritty details. If there&#8217;s a four-way tie, Wartburg claims the autobid; they and Simpson went 2-1 while Coe and Dubuque went 1-2, and Wartburg beat Simpson. In a three-way tie which doesn&#8217;t involve Coe, Wartburg also wins the autobid by going 2-0 against the other two schools. If Simpson is the odd team out, the three remaining teams all went 1-1 against each other; Coe is eliminated due to the Rose Bowl rule and Wartburg still gets the autobid because they beat Dubuque. If it&#8217;s Dubuque that&#8217;s not involved, the exact same thing applies, only it&#8217;s Simpson that Wartburg beats out.<\/p>\n<p>So in a four-way or any three-way tie, Wartburg ends up with the autobid. And since Wartburg beat Dubuque and Simpson, the only way Wartburg doesn&#8217;t win the autobid is if they, Dubuque, and Simpson all lose and Coe wins, in which case Coe manages to squeak into the playoff field.<\/p>\n<p>Wasn&#8217;t that fun?<\/p>\n<h3>Liberty League<\/h3>\n<p>After that treatise, you&#8217;ll be happy to know that <strong>Hobart<\/strong> (8-0\/6-0) has won the outright title. They&#8217;ve got a two-game lead on Saint Lawrence (6-3\/4-2).<\/p>\n<h3>Massachusetts<\/h3>\n<p>Framingham State (8-1\/7-0) has sealed the outright MASCAC title, but they don&#8217;t get an autobid because the MASCAC doesn&#8217;t get one until next year. They visit Worcester State (3-6\/1-6), and need a win to have a shot at an at-large bid. (They&#8217;ll likely get it with a victory.)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Michigan<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Albion (7-2\/5-0) already has a share of the title; they visit Hope (7-2\/4-1), and the winner gets the playoff berth.<\/p>\n<h3>Middle Atlantic<\/h3>\n<p>Lebanon Valley (8-1\/7-1) can claim the autobid and outright title with a win at Albright (6-3\/5-3). If they fail, there&#8217;s a possible three-way tie. Lycoming (6-3\/6-2) visits Stevenson (4-5\/3-5); Widener (6-3\/6-2) travels to Delaware Valley (6-3\/5-3). In the case of two-way ties, Lebanon Valley gets the autobid if it&#8217;s Lycoming they&#8217;re tied with; if it&#8217;s Widener, Widener gets it. If both Lycoming and Widener win, we&#8217;ve got a three-way tie, which will be settled by point differential in games between the three; that will go to Widener.<\/p>\n<h3>Midwest<\/h3>\n<p>Saint Norbert (8-1\/8-0) gets to hang a banner already, but they haven&#8217;t secured the autobid yet. They will with a win at Lake Forest (7-2\/6-2), but that&#8217;s not exactly assured. Illinois College (8-1\/7-1) visits Carroll (WI) (5-4\/4-4). If Saint Norbert loses and Illinois College wins&#8230; well, then it gets interesting. Unless SNC loses to Lake Forest in overtime while Illinois College beats Carroll in overtime, Illinois College gets the autobid. Why? Because they didn&#8217;t play this year, so head-to-head is out, and the Midwest Conference&#8217;s second tiebreaker is quarters led. Illinois College has led 28 quarters so far this year, while Saint Norbert&#8217;s only led 25.<\/p>\n<h3>Minnesota<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Bethel (MN)<\/strong> (9-0\/7-0) has clinched everything. There will probably be a second MIAC team in the playoffs, depending on what else transpires this week. If Saint John&#8217;s (7-2\/5-2) beats Bethel at home, they&#8217;re it. Otherwise, it&#8217;ll be a tossup between Saint Thomas (7-2\/5-2) and Concordia-Moorhead (7-2\/5-2), and it might be that neither team gets an invite.<\/p>\n<h3>New England<\/h3>\n<p>This one&#8217;s real simple. Salve Regina (7-2\/6-0) visits Endicott (7-2\/6-0), and having said that the situation should be pretty obvious.<\/p>\n<h3>New England Small College<\/h3>\n<p>They wrapped things up last week, and of course they don&#8217;t play non-conference games at all in football much less play in the post-season. Amherst, Middlebury, and Wesleyan (CT) tied at 7-1 and share the conference title.<\/p>\n<h3>New Jersey<\/h3>\n<p>Another big ol&#8217; mess. Rowan (7-2\/5-1) hosts College of New Jersey (5-4\/4-2), Brockport State (6-3\/5-1) visits Morrisville State (3-6\/2-4), and as previously mentioned Cortland State (5-4\/5-2) plays Ithaca in a non-conference game. The short version here: If Brockport wins and Rowan loses, Brockport&#8217;s got the autobid. Any other result, and it belongs to Rowan. Longer version (skip the rest of the paragraph if you don&#8217;t care): If Rowan and Brockport both win, Rowan gets the autobid thanks to a win over Brockport. If one wins and the other doesn&#8217;t, the winner goes to the playoffs and wins the title outright. If they both lose&#8230; oh, boy. That&#8217;ll set up a four-way tie. But it&#8217;s not that complicated; New Jersey and Cortland were both 1-2 within the group, so they&#8217;re eliminated, putting us back to Rowan and Brockport, and Rowan gets the playoff berth.<\/p>\n<h3>North Coast<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Wittenberg<\/strong> (8-1\/8-0) has clinched the autobid and a share of the title. They host Allegheny (0-9\/0-8), and are pretty much a lock to take the title outright as a result. If, however, by some miracle Allegheny should win, Wabash (8-1\/7-1) will split the crown with a win in the Monon Bell Trophy game at DePauw (4-5\/4-4). More importantly, Wabash&#8217;s playoff hopes rest on a victory.<\/p>\n<h3>Northern<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Concordia (WI)<\/strong> (7-2\/5-0) has grabbed the autobid. A win at Wisconsin Lutheran (4-5\/3-2) would prevent sharing the conference title. If they lose, the winner of the Lakeland (6-3\/4-1) at Benedictine (IL) (7-2\/4-1) game will be able to call themselves champions too.<\/p>\n<h3>Northwest<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Linfield<\/strong> (8-0\/5-0) won the autobid, and would claim the outright crown with a win at Pacific (OR) (7-2\/3-2). Pacific Lutheran (8-1\/5-1) is idle, and would back into a share of the title with a Linfield loss.<\/p>\n<h3>Ohio<\/h3>\n<p>Mount Union (9-0\/8-0) hosts John Carroll (9-0\/8-0); winner is the outright champion and gets the autobid, loser probably has to settle for an at-large berth. With a win at Baldwin-Wallace (6-3\/5-3), Heidelberg (7-2\/6-2) may be in the discussion as well.<\/p>\n<h3>Old Dominion<\/h3>\n<p>Another straight-up tussle for an outright championship here. Hampden-Sydney (7-2\/5-1) visits Randolph-Macon (7-2\/5-1), winner take all.<\/p>\n<h3>Presidents&#8217;<\/h3>\n<p>Thomas More (8-1\/7-1), as mentioned above, plays Mount Saint Joseph in a non-conference rivalry game. Fortunately for the Saints, they&#8217;ve already earned a share of the conference championship. Unfortunately for them, they have to sit and wait to see what happens when Waynesburg (7-2\/5-2) visits Washington &amp; Jefferson (7-2\/6-1)&#8230; because the Saints lost to W&amp;J, so if the Presidents win they get the automatic bid and a share of the crown.<\/p>\n<h3>Southern<\/h3>\n<p>Another winner-take-all matchup as Millsaps (9-0\/5-0) visits Rhodes (7-2\/4-1) for all the marbles.<\/p>\n<h3>Southern Collegiate<\/h3>\n<p>Texas Lutheran (7-1\/3-0) won the conference outright over a month ago. Unfortunately, the SCAC only has four teams these days and as a result doesn&#8217;t get an autobid. A 73-44 loss to Hardin-Simmons last week probably destroyed TLU&#8217;s hopes of getting an at-large berth. They&#8217;ll host Howard Payne (4-5) in a non-conference tilt, and they&#8217;d better win big and then pray.<\/p>\n<h3>Southern California<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Redlands<\/strong> (6-2\/6-0) has the autobid clamped down, and will secure the outright title with a win at home against Whittier (1-7\/1-5). Chapman (7-1\/5-1) hosts Cal Lutheran (4-4\/4-2), and will have to hope for a win and divine intervention to stake a claim.<\/p>\n<h3>University<\/h3>\n<p>Washington (MO) (7-2\/2-0) hosts Chicago (6-3\/1-1), while Case Western Reserve (4-4\/1-1) visits Carnegie Mellon (3-6\/0-2). A Washington win locks up the outright conference title. A loss, and they&#8217;ll share it with Chicago and, should they win, Case. The UAA has no autobid; with a win, Washington has an outside shot at an invite.<\/p>\n<h3>Upper Midwest<\/h3>\n<p>The entire conference is idle this week, which is another way of saying they&#8217;re all done. <strong>Saint Scholastica<\/strong> (9-1\/9-0) won the outright championship and the autobid.<\/p>\n<h3>USA South<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Maryville (TN)<\/strong> (8-1\/6-0) is in an unfamiliar place. They&#8217;ve made it to the playoffs before, but they&#8217;ve always had to wait and see because they&#8217;ve never done so via an autobid. They can relax now. They&#8217;ll visit Huntingdon (6-3\/4-2) this week, and a win will earn them the outright honors. If they falter, Methodist (7-2\/5-1) can sneak in for a share of the title with a win at home over North Carolina Wesleyan (2-7\/2-4).<\/p>\n<h3>Wisconsin<\/h3>\n<p>Wisconsin-River Falls (0-9\/0-6) will try to prevent <strong>Wisconsin-Whitewater<\/strong> (9-0\/6-0) from winning the conference outright, and yeah, good luck with that. If by some form of sorcery that should happen, the winner of the titanic clash in Oshkosh between Wisconsin-Platteville and Wisconsin-Oshkosh (both 8-1\/5-1) would earn a split of the championship, and regardless they&#8217;re probably headed for the playoffs anyway.<\/p>\n<p>Independents<\/p>\n<p>Obviously there&#8217;s no autobid or title at stake here, but Wesley (DE) (7-2) really needs a win against visiting Alfred State (4-5) to keep their playoff plans on track. Southern Virginia (7-2) hosts Southwestern (TX) (0-9), and with a win would at least get the distinction of sharing &#8212; or possessing in its entirety, should Wesley lose &#8212; the best record among the indies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Things are more cut and dried in D-III than they were in D-II, thanks to the fact that D-III actually has automatic bids. That means that we can outline actual scenarios with absolute certainty, and they won&#8217;t be so complex you need an abacus to sort them out. Other than some brief thoughts, I&#8217;m not [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[10],"tags":[11],"class_list":["post-1766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-division-iii","tag-d3"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p185sV-su","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1766","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1766"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1766\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1768,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1766\/revisions\/1768"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}