{"id":1409,"date":"2011-12-02T10:00:41","date_gmt":"2011-12-02T16:00:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/?p=1409"},"modified":"2011-12-01T14:34:11","modified_gmt":"2011-12-01T20:34:11","slug":"fcs-second-round-previews-part-two","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/2011\/12\/02\/fcs-second-round-previews-part-two\/","title":{"rendered":"FCS: Second Round Previews (Part Two)."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Previews, team capsules, and predictions for the second-round FCS playoff games taking place in the bottom half of the bracket this week follow.<br \/>\n<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Maine (8-3) at Appalachian State (9-2)<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nKidd Brewer Stadium, Boone NC, 2pm ET<br \/>\nAirs on ESPN GamePlan.  Video available via ESPN3.  Audio available via <a href=\"http:\/\/client.stretchinternet.com\/client\/maine.portal\" target=\"_blank\">Stretch Internet<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.goasu.com\/liveEvents\/liveEvents.dbml?SPSID=104458&#038;SPID=12811&#038;DB_LANG=C&#038;DB_OEM_ID=21500&#038;db_oem_id=21500\" target=\"_blank\">Appalachian State<\/a>.  Live Stats available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">NCAA<\/a>.<br \/>\nSeries: Maine leads 1-0 (14-13 at Appalachian State, 2002 playoffs)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Maine Black Bears<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/e\/e9\/Maine.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"100\" height=\"120\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Orono ME<br \/>\nConference: Colonial<br \/>\nColors: Dark Blue and Light Blue<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 6, 2-5 (1987, 1989, 2001, 2002, 2008, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Jack Cosgrove (19th year, 105-111)<br \/>\nKey games:<br \/>\nOffense: 29.5 ppg, 372.0 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 23.9 ppg, 348.3 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 240.3 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 190.0 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 131.7 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 158.3 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +9<br \/>\nKey players: QB Warren Smith (64.3%, 2643 yds, 17 TD, 10 INT), RB Pushaun Brown (193-944, 94.4 ypg, 4.9 ypc, 10 TD), DB Trevor Coston (6 INT), DL Michael Cole (10 sacks, 13.5 TFL), DB Jerron McMillian (10.5 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: Stop the pass, you can stop Maine.  Otherwise, you&#8217;re in for a long day.  They&#8217;ve played a lot of close games, and forcing mistakes is a key to beating them.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Appalachian State Mountaineers<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/6\/6d\/Appalachian_State.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"100\" height=\"107\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Boone NC<br \/>\nConference: Southern<br \/>\nColors: Black and Gold<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 19, 24-15, three titles (1986, 1987, 1989, 1991, 1992, 1994, 1995, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, <strong>2005, 2006, 2007<\/strong>, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Jerry Moore (23rd year, 208-81; overall 235-129-2 including 2 years at North Texas and 5 years at Texas Tech)<br \/>\nKey games:<br \/>\nOffense: 30.2 ppg, 400.7 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 22.9 ppg, 343.1 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 231.0 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 199.7 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 169.7 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 143.4 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +5<br \/>\nKey players: QB Jamal Jackson (62.2%, 1729 yds, 14 TD, 6 INT), RB Travaris Cadet (145-655, 59.5 ypg, 4.5 ypc), WR Brian Quick (64-1055, 95.9 ypg, 16.5 ypc, 11 TD), DB Demetrius McCray (5 INT), LB Jeremy Kimbrough (4 sacks, 11.5 TFL), DL Ronald Blair (11.5 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: Jackson missed much of the first half of the season, and DeAndre Presley filled in acceptably.  K Drew Stewart is 8-10 within the 44, while K\/P Sam Martin is only 3-9, but 3-5 outside 40 and 2-4 beyond 50, but 0-4 inside 40.  In other words, if a long FG is called for, expect Martin to take it.  The Mountaineers have a lot of ball carriers; Cadet&#8217;s just the leading rusher.  They&#8217;re vulnerable to the pass, and could even have trouble with a balanced offense if it&#8217;s potent both ways.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Jon&#8217;s Prediction<\/span>:<br \/>\nAppalachian State 29, Maine 24.  It&#8217;s going to look more like a shootout than anything, and that score may be higher on both sides.  Still, Appalachian is at home, and they&#8217;re a better team.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Old Dominion (10-2) at Georgia Southern (9-2)<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nAllen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro GA, 1pm ET<br \/>\nAirs on ESPN GamePlan.  Video available via ESPN3.  Audio available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.odusports.com\/allaccess\/?media=285801\" target=\"_blank\">Old Dominion<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.georgiasoutherneagles.com\/liveEvents\/liveEvents.dbml?&#038;DB_OEM_ID=18700\" target=\"_blank\">Georgia Southern<\/a>.<br \/>\nSeries: first meeting.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Old Dominion Monarchs<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/8\/87\/Old_Dominion.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"114\" height=\"98\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Norfolk VA<br \/>\nConference: Colonial<br \/>\nColors: Slate Blue and Silver<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 1, 1-0 (2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Bobby Wilder (3rd year, 27-7)<br \/>\nKey games: 27-17 loss at then #7 Delaware on 9\/24; 48-33 win over then #20 Massachusetts on 10\/1; 39-35 loss to then #17 Towson on 10\/15; 23-20 win over then #9 James Madison on 10\/29; 35-18 win over #19 Norfolk State in first round on 11\/26<br \/>\nOffense: 35.8 ppg, 429.2 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 25.5 ppg, 367.7 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 262.0 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 251.8 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 165.2 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 115.9 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +12<br \/>\nKey players: QB Taylor Heinicke (70.7%, 2039 yds, 20 TD, 1 INT), RB Angus Harper (135-602, 50.2 ypg, 4.5 ypc, 9 TD), RB Colby Goodwyn (118-534, 66.8 ypg, 4.5 ypc, 3 TD), WR Nick Mayers (57-658, 59.8 ypg, 11.5 ypc, 7 TD), DB Eriq Lewis (5 INT), DT Ronnie Cameron (6.5 sacks, 16.0 TFL), LB Craig Wilkins (14.5 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: Heinicke, a freshman, has started the last eight games and has been a revelation.  The Monarchs are vulnerable against the pass, but unless you&#8217;re very adept at stopping a passing game it&#8217;s going to become a track meet.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Georgia Southern Eagles<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/9\/9d\/Georgia_Southern.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"169\" height=\"101\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Statesboro GA<br \/>\nConference: Southern<br \/>\nColors: Blue and White<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 18, 41-11, six titles (<strong>1985, 1986<\/strong>, 1987, 1988, <strong>1989, 1990<\/strong>, 1993, 1995, 1997, 1998, <strong>1999, 2000<\/strong>, 2001, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2010, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Jeff Monken (2nd year, 19-7)<br \/>\nKey games:<br \/>\nOffense: 35.9 ppg, 424.9 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 20.4 ppg, 335.2 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 106.2 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 198.3 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 318.7 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 136.9 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +4<br \/>\nKey players: QB Jaybo Shaw (51.5%, 1096 yds, 8 TD, 3 INT, 10 rushing TD), RB Robert Brown (130-834, 75.8 ypg, 6.4 ypc, 5 TD), RB Dominique Swope (91-591, 59.1 ypg, 6.5 ypc, 4 TD), RB Jerick McKinnon (80-537, 53.7 ypg, 6.7 ypc, 7 TD), WR Johnathan Bryant (9-303, 33.7 ypc, 2 TD), KR\/DB Laron Scott (25-836, 33.4 ypr, 2 TD, 3 INT), K Adrian Mora (12-13, long 49, 10-10 inside 40), DT Brent Russell (5 sacks, 12 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: Triple option all up in your grill.  Unless your name is &#8220;Alabama&#8221;, you&#8217;re not stopping them.  For that matter, even if your name is &#8220;Alabama&#8221;, you&#8217;re not stopping them; the Eagles scored more points on the Crimson Tide than any other team this season.  They don&#8217;t pass much, but have an uncanny knack of striking for big plays when they do.  Defensively, they can be susceptible to a great passing team, so keep an eye out for potential mismatches there.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Jon&#8217;s Prediction<\/span>:<br \/>\nGeorgia Southern 40, Old Dominion 30.  Old Dominion does have some advantages here.  They&#8217;re fairly strong against the run, and they&#8217;ve got Heinicke to pepper the Eagles&#8217; defense.  But the triple option&#8217;s hard to defend if you&#8217;re not used to it, and the Eagles have experience on their side here.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Lehigh (10-1) at Towson (9-2)<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nMinnegan Field at Johnny Unitas Stadium, Towson MD, 3:30pm ET<br \/>\nAirs on ESPN GamePlan.  Video available via ESPN3.  Audio available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lehighsports.com\/info\/broadcast\/default.aspx\" target=\"_blank\">Lehigh<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.towsontigers.com\/liveEvents\/liveEvents.dbml?SPSID=101455&#038;SPID=12497&#038;DB_LANG=C&#038;DB_OEM_ID=21300\" target=\"_blank\">Towson<\/a>.<br \/>\nSeries: Lehigh leads 10-1 (last: 2003, Lehigh 35-3 at Lehigh)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Lehigh Mountain Hawks<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/5\/53\/Lehigh.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"150\" height=\"147\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Bethlehem PA<br \/>\nConference: Patriot<br \/>\nColors: Brown and White<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 9, 5-8 (1979, 1980, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2004, 2010, 2011; three D-II appearances before creation of I-AA, 3-2 and 1977 champions)<br \/>\nCoach: Andy Coen (6th year, 40-28)<br \/>\nKey games:<br \/>\nOffense: 34.7 ppg, 478.8 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 18.2 ppg, 307.4 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 342.4 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 217.4 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 136.5 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 90.0 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +6<br \/>\nKey players: QB Chris Lum (67.0%, 3739 yds, 31 TD, 15 INT), RB Zach Barket (143-706, 70.6 ypg, 4.9 ypc, 4 TD), WR Ryan Spadola (83-1462, 132.9 ypg, 17.6 ypc, 10 TD), WR Jake Drwal (77-912, 82.9 ypg, 11.8 ypc, 9 TD), DB Mike Groome (4 INT), DB Bryan Andrews (4 INT, 1 TD), DL Ben Flizack (6.5 sacks, 12 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: The most exciting QB in the playoffs, Lum makes Lehigh go.  If you can shut him down, you&#8217;re in business.  As always, the question with the Mountain Hawks is the extent to which they padded their resume playing Patriot League and Ivy schools.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Towson Tigers<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/9\/9e\/Towson.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"173\" height=\"120\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Towson MD<br \/>\nConference: Colonial<br \/>\nColors: Black and Gold<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 1 (2011; 1 appearance in D-III playoffs in 1976, and 3 appearances in D-II playoffs, 1983, 1984, 1986 &#8212; now the only team to appear in FCS, D-II, AND D-III playoffs)<br \/>\nCoach: Rob Ambrose (3rd year, 12-21; overall 15-28 including one year at Catholic)<br \/>\nKey games:<br \/>\nOffense: 34.5 ppg, 439.4 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 24.7 ppg, 359.4 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 199.9 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 213.8 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 239.5 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 145.5 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +8<br \/>\nKey players: QB Grant Enders (68.3%, 1867 yds, 14 TD, 8 INT), RB Terrance West (183-1242, 124.2 ypg, 6.8 ypc, 27 TD), K D.J. Soven (6-7, long 47), DE Frank Beltre (4 sacks, 11 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: Towson went from worst-to-first, and it was a complete surprise to everyone as they&#8217;d been <em>picked<\/em> to finish last.  They can run and they can pass, but they&#8217;re vulnerable to a team with a potent passing game.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Jon&#8217;s Prediction<\/span>:<br \/>\nTowson 31, Lehigh 30.  On paper, Lehigh looks a lot better, and there&#8217;s a bit of a mismatch.  On grass, Lehigh played a weak schedule while Towson won the CAA.  It&#8217;ll be a good game, probably the best of the day in FCS.  But Towson should squeak through.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>James Madison (8-4) at North Dakota State (10-1)<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nFargoDome, Fargo ND, 4pm ET<br \/>\nAirs on ESPN GamePlan.  Video available via ESPN3.  Audio available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.jmusports.com\/LiveEvents.dbml?SPSID=71029&#038;SPID=8113&#038;&#038;DB_OEM_ID=14400\" target=\"_blank\">James Madison<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.kfgo.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">KFGO<\/a>.<br \/>\nSeries: first meeting.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">James Madison Dukes<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/1\/1a\/James_Madison.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"154\" height=\"120\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Harrisonburg VA<br \/>\nConference: Colonial<br \/>\nColors: Purple and Gold<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 10, 9-9, 1 title (1987, 1991, 1994, 1995, 1999, <strong>2004<\/strong>, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Mickey Matthews (12th year, 96-60)<br \/>\nKey games: 27-24 win at then #22 Liberty on 9\/17; 20-14 win at then #6 William &#038; Mary on 9\/24; 31-7 win over then #10 Richmond on 10\/1; 25-24 loss in OT to then #19 Maine on 10\/8; 23-20 loss at then #15 Old Dominion on 10\/29; 28-10 loss at then #9 New Hampshire on 11\/5; 20-17 win at Eastern Kentucky in first round on 10\/26<br \/>\nOffense: 22.9 ppg, 352.7 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 19.1 ppg, 297.3 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 118.6 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 199.9 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 234.1 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 97.4 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +5<br \/>\nKey players: QB Justin Thorpe (60.7%, 690 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT), RB Dae&#8217;Quan Scott (220-1241, 103.4 ypg, 5.6 ypc, 12 TD), RB Jordan Anderson (160-834, 69.5 ypg, 5.2 ypc, 9 TD), DE D.J. Bryant (6.5 sacks, 12 TFL), DE Lamar Middleton (6 sacks, 10 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: Thorpe missed five games due to a suspension after reportedly failing a drug test.  This is a run-first team and they make no effort to hide the fact.  They&#8217;re also very stingy against the run, but somewhat vulnerable to the pass.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">North Dakota State Bison<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/2\/2c\/North_Dakota_State.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"201\" height=\"100\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Fargo ND<br \/>\nConference: Missouri Valley<br \/>\nColors: Yellow and Green<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 1 (2011, but in the D-II playoffs, 17 appearances, 30-13, 5 titles)<br \/>\nCoach: Craig Bohl (9th year, 71-31)<br \/>\nKey games:<br \/>\nOffense: 33.5 ppg, 344.5 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 14.9 ppg, 321.7 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 187.3 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 199.2 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 157.3 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 122.5 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +14<br \/>\nKey players: QB Brock Jensen (69.8%, 1994 yds, 11 TD, 2 INT), RB Sam Ojuri (132-781, 71.0 ypg, 5.9 ypc, 8 TD), RB D.J. McNorton (140-681, 68.1 ypg, 4.9 ypc, 11 TD), WR Warren Holloway (55-746, 67.8 ypg, 13.6 ypc, 6 TD), K Ryan Jastrum (12-14, long 49), DB\/KR Marcus Williams (7 INT, 3 TD; 7-302 KR, 43.1 ypr, 1 TD), DE Coulter Boyer (7 sacks, 10 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: You look at the stats and you see a good team with a strong defense, but still wonder how they went 10-1 and nearly outscored their opponents by 20 points a game.  Two words: red zone.  NDSU scored on 91% of their trips, and came away with touchdowns 2\/3 of the time.  Their opponents failed to score at all a quarter of the time, and only got six half the time.  That, and a strong turnover margin, have been the key.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Jon&#8217;s Prediction<\/span>:<br \/>\nNorth Dakota State 27, James Madison 10.  The Dukes have enough defense to keep the Bison from going crazy, but not enough offense to pose a serious threat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Previews, team capsules, and predictions for the second-round FCS playoff games taking place in the bottom half of the bracket this week follow.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[7,6],"tags":[41],"class_list":["post-1409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-division-news-and-notes","category-fcs","tag-fcs"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p185sV-mJ","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1409","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1409"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1409\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1482,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1409\/revisions\/1482"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}