{"id":1168,"date":"2011-11-19T09:00:28","date_gmt":"2011-11-19T15:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/?p=1168"},"modified":"2011-11-19T00:05:31","modified_gmt":"2011-11-19T06:05:31","slug":"naia-first-round-previews-part-one","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/2011\/11\/19\/naia-first-round-previews-part-one\/","title":{"rendered":"NAIA: First Round Previews, Part One."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s the first part of the NAIA first round playoff preview, featuring the teams in the top half of the bracket.<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\nNote that what you would expect to be seed numbers are merely final regular-season poll rankings, as the NAIA doesn&#8217;t really seed, and all rounds of the playoffs are scheduled ad hoc.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>13 Bethel (TN) (8-2) at 5 Saint Xavier (10-1)<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nBruce R. Deaton Memorial Field, Chicago IL, 2pm ET<br \/>\nVideo available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.livestream.com\/sxucougars\" target=\"_blank\">Livestream<\/a>.  Audio available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thefarmradio.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">WEIO<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wxav.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">WXAV<\/a>.  Live Stats available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dakstats.com\/Websync\/Pages\/WebcastPlayByPlay\/WebcastPBP.aspx?association=10&#038;sg=MFB&#038;compID=31589&#038;sea=\" target=\"_blank\">DakStats<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Series: Saint Xavier leads 2-0 (last: 2010, 49-32 SXU at Bethel)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Bethel Wildcats<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/e\/e3\/Bethel_%28TN%29.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"116\" height=\"123\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Jackson TN<br \/>\nConference: Mid-South (West)<br \/>\nColors: Purple and Gold<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 3, 2-2 (2006, 2007, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Dino Kaklis (10th year, 60-45)<br \/>\nKey games: 26-21 win over Wisconsin-Eau Claire 9\/3; 70-26 loss to North Central 9\/10; 35-28 win at then #15 Cumberlands on 9\/24; 36-34 loss at then #17 Cumberland on 10\/22<br \/>\nOffense: 36.0 ppg, 376.3 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 27.6 ppg, 391.2 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 174.3 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 212.9 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 202.0 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 178.3 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +11<br \/>\nKey players: QB Wil Masoud (62.7%, 1616 yds, 13 TD, 5 INT), RB Cordarious Mann (191-983, 98.3 ypg, 9 TD)<br \/>\nOther notes: Bethel eased their way into the playoffs, but it&#8217;s going to be a short ride.  They give up more yards than they gain, and that wasn&#8217;t against playoff-caliber teams.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Saint Xavier Cougars<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/a\/a0\/Saint_Xavier.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"150\" height=\"131\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Chicago IL<br \/>\nConference: Mid-States (Midwest League)<br \/>\nColors: Scarlet and Grey<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 7, 7-6 (2002, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2009, 2010, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Mike Feminis (13th year, 112-41)<br \/>\nKey games: 34-30 win at then #24 Saint Francis (IL) on 9\/10; 42-31 win at then #2 Saint Francis (IN) on 10\/1; 27-9 loss at then #2 Marian on 11\/5<br \/>\nOffense: 48.4 ppg, 486.4 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 19.6 ppg, 251.5 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 341.6 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 158.0 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 144.7 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 93.5 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +16<br \/>\nKey players: QB Jimmy Coy (68.5%, 3127 yds, 31 TD, 9 INT), RB Nick Pesek (132-662, 60.2 ypg, 9 TD), WR Shane Zackery (70-865, 86.5 ypg, 13 TD), WR Corey Wennmache (46-791, 71.8 ypg, 17.2 ypc, 9 TD), K Tom Lynch (16-21, long 50), DE Michael Prosser (8.5 sacks, 18.5 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: The Cougars will tear a team up through the air.  They played in two #1 vs #2 contests this year, both times as the #1 team, and both times on the road.  They&#8217;re the #5 seed (essentially), but they may still be one of the two best teams in NAIA.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Jon&#8217;s Prediction:<\/span><br \/>\nSaint Xavier 47, Bethel 21.  It&#8217;s not even going to be close.  Bethel will pass for about what they&#8217;re used to getting, but they&#8217;re going to get stoned on the ground.  Meanwhile, Bethel isn&#8217;t built to defend the pass (or, really, the run), and Coy is going to unload.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>14 Southern Nazarene (9-2) at 4 MidAmerica Nazarene (9-1)<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nPioneer Stadium, Olathe KS, 2pm ET<br \/>\nVideo available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mnusports.com\/showcase\/#liveevents\" target=\"_blank\">MidAmerica Nazarene<\/a>, but it&#8217;s pay-per-view apparently.  Audio available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.snuathletics.com\/sports\/2011\/3\/10\/streaming.aspx\" target=\"_blank\">Southern Nazarene<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ustream.tv\/channel\/mnu-football-broadcast\" target=\"_blank\">UStream<\/a>.  Live Stats available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dakstats.com\/Websync\/Pages\/WebcastPlayByPlay\/WebcastPBP.aspx?association=10&#038;sg=MFB&#038;compID=31410&#038;sea=NAIMFB_2011\" target=\"_blank\">DakStats<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Series: MidAmerica Nazarene leads 2-0 (last: 41-17 MANU, 10\/15\/2011 at Wichita)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Southern Nazarene Crimson Storm<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/e\/e1\/Southern_Nazarene.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"150\" height=\"102\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Bethany OK<br \/>\nConference: Central States<br \/>\nColors: Crimson and White<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 1 (2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Mike Cochran (6th year, 38-26; 75-36 overall including five years at MidAmerica Nazarene)<br \/>\nKey games: 28-12 loss at NW Oklahoma State on 10\/8; 41-17 loss to MidAmerica Nazarene in Wichita on 10\/15; 38-34 win over then #19 Langston on 11\/12<br \/>\nOffense: 39.5 ppg, 395.9 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 17.3 ppg, 256.9 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 253.5 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 162.4 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 142.4 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 94.5 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +9<br \/>\nKey players: QB Brady Wardlaw (56.6%, 2693 yds, 32 TD, 12 INT), RB Derick Perkins (148-658, 59.8 ypg, 10 TD), DB Matt Pruitt (5 INT, 2 TD), LB Michael Hicks (5.5 sacks, 28 TFL), DL Jonathan Jenkins-Dill (7 sacks, 15.5 TFL), LB Dillon Brumbaugh (4.5 sacks, 15 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: The Storm have a penchant for causing loss of yards and turnovers.  They have a moderately strong passing attack, mostly underneath routes, accented by an assortment of runners.  They probably don&#8217;t have the juice to advance, but the playoff spot is a nice parting gift on the way to NCAA D-II.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">MidAmerica Nazarene Pioneers<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/f\/f8\/MidAmerica_Nazarene.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"150\" height=\"95\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Olathe KS<br \/>\nConference: Heart of America<br \/>\nColors: Scarlet, Royal Blue, and White<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 9, 5-8 (2000, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Jonathan Quinn (3rd year, 31-4)<br \/>\nKey games: 26-21 loss at then #11 Missouri Valley on 9\/10; 33-30 win at Baker on 10\/1; 41-17 win over then #15 Southern Nazarene on 10\/15 in Wichita; 49-39 win over then #7 Benedictine on 10\/22<br \/>\nOffense: 40.2 ppg, 428.9 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 15.5 ppg, 248.7 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 199.3 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 143.2 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 229.6 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 105.5 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +4<br \/>\nKey players: QB Tyler Herl (56.9%, 1127 yds, 12 TD, 7 INT), RB James Tillman (125-647, 71.9 ypg, 9 TD), DB A.J. Rodriguez (5 INT), DL Brandon Smith (12 sacks, 19 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: The Pioneers just grind you down, throwing enough passes to prevent stacking the box.  They rank seventh in the NAIA in both total offense and total defense.  They&#8217;re a reasonable bet to move all the way to the semifinals. <\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Jon&#8217;s Prediction:<\/span><br \/>\nMidAmerica Nazarene 40, Southern Nazarene 17.  That&#8217;s what my magical number cruncher tells me, and the fact that it&#8217;s exactly one point different from the score of their previous meeting is a coincidence.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>10 Ottawa (9-2) at 8 Azusa Pacific (8-2)<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nCougar Athletic Stadium, Azusa CA, 8pm ET<br \/>\nVideo available via <a href=\"http:\/\/client.stretchinternet.com\/client\/apu.portal\" target=\"_blank\">Stretch Internet<\/a>, pay-per-view.  Audio available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.kofo.com\/index.php?PAGE_ID=26\" target=\"_blank\">KOFO<\/a>.  Live Stats available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dakstats.com\/Websync\/Pages\/WebcastPlayByPlay\/WebcastPBP.aspx?association=10&#038;sg=MFB&#038;compID=31541&#038;sea=\" target=\"_blank\">DakStats<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Series: first meeting.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Ottawa Braves<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/0\/06\/Ottawa.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"150\" height=\"108\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Ottawa KS<br \/>\nConference: Kansas<br \/>\nColors: Garnet and Grey<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 6, 1-5 (1997, 2000, 2003, 2009, 2010, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Kent Kessinger (8th year, 50-34)<br \/>\nKey games:<br \/>\nOffense: 34.5 ppg, 379.5 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 16.7 ppg, 319.2 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 230.1 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 167.0 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 149.5 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 152.2 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +10<br \/>\nKey players: QB Bobby Adamson (58.2%, 1873 yds, 18 TD, 13 INT), RB Michael Baer (173-886, 80.5 ypg, 5 TD), RB Shane Gimzo (99-463, 13 TD), WR\/KR Clarence Anderson (80-1009, 91.7 ypg, 12 TD; 22-482 PR, 2 TD; 8-215 KR, 1 TD), DB Donald Anderson (5 INT, 2 TD)<br \/>\nOther notes: Ottawa started badly, dropping their first two games before reeling off nine straight and sweeping the KCAC schedule.  Unfortunately, the KCAC schedule was horribly weak outside of Ottawa, and they&#8217;re not going to get far in this field.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Azusa Pacific Cougars<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/4\/48\/Azusa_Pacific.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"200\" height=\"83\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Azusa CA<br \/>\nConference: independent<br \/>\nColors: Brick and Black<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 8, 8-6, 1 title (<strong>1998<\/strong>, 1999, 2000, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2010, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Victor Santa Cruz (6th year, 28-34)<br \/>\nKey games: 42-40 loss at FCS San Diego on 9\/3; 48-19 win at D-II Dixie State on 10\/15; 38-31 loss at D-II Lindenwood on 10\/22; 49-6 win at Menlo on 11\/5<br \/>\nOffense: 48.4 ppg, 503.4 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 20.1 ppg, 313.2 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 173.1 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 211.0 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 330.3 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 102.2 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +7<br \/>\nKey players: QB John van den Raadt (54.7%, 1586 yds, 18 TD, 5 INT, 114-1087 rushing, 108.7 ypg, 9.5 ypc, 15 TD), RB Johnell Murphy (102-885, 88.5 ypg, 8.7 ypc, 9 TD), RB Terrel Watson (83-557, 55.7 ypg, 6.7 ypc, 11 TD), WR Matt Davis (40-786, 78.6 ypg, 7 TD),<br \/>\nOther notes: Azusa will just flat run the ball down your throat, and they won&#8217;t even let you return the favor.  Their only two losses were playing up, and they basically rolled everyone else.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Jon&#8217;s Prediction:<\/span><br \/>\nAzusa Pacific 42, Ottawa 24.  Ottawa will be able to get aerial yards, but they&#8217;re just not equipped to hold off Azusa&#8217;s rushing attack.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>18 Grand View (8-3) at 1 Marian (10-0)<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nSaint Vincent Health Field, Indianapolis IN, 1pm ET<br \/>\nVideo available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.livestream.com\/knightsathleticsnetwork\" target=\"_blank\">LiveStream<\/a>.  Audio available via <a href=\"http:\/\/client.stretchinternet.com\/client\/marian.portal\" target=\"_blank\">Stretch Internet<\/a>.  Live Stats available via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dakstats.com\/Websync\/Pages\/WebcastPlayByPlay\/WebcastPBP.aspx?association=10&#038;sg=MFB&#038;compID=31592&#038;sea=\" target=\"_blank\">DakStats<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Series: Marian leads 4-0 (last: 19-14 Marian on 9\/3 at Grand View)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Grand View Vikings<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/9\/93\/Grand_View.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"196\" height=\"120\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Des Moines IA<br \/>\nConference: Mid-States (Midwest League)<br \/>\nColors: White and Red<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 1 (2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Mike Woodley (4th year, 24-18; overall 37-36 including three years at Saint Ambrose)<br \/>\nKey games: 19-14 loss to then #6 Marian on 9\/3; 28-21 loss at FCS Drake on 9\/10; 17-9 loss to then #20 Saint Ambrose on 10\/1; 24-21 win over then #9 Saint Francis (IL) on 10\/29; 14-13 win over then #8 William Penn on 11\/12<br \/>\nOffense: 27.5 ppg, 377.2 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 14.8 ppg, 231.6 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 184.6 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 155.5 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 192.5 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 76.1 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: -2<br \/>\nKey players: QB Gregory Charles (58.9%, 1898 yds, 17 TD, 11 INT), RB Darryl Ford (207-993, 90.3 ypg, 10 TD), LB Jon Higgins (6.5 sacks, 17 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: The Vikings pulled off a miracle on the season&#8217;s final week, landing in the playoffs as the only team not ranked in the top 16.  With a different draw, they could have gotten somewhere with their stingy defense and balanced offense.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Marian Knights<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jonfmorse.com\/wiki\/images\/8\/8d\/Marian_%28IN%29.png\" class=\"alignnone\" width=\"123\" height=\"126\" \/><br \/>\nLocation: Indianapolis IN<br \/>\nConference: Mid-States (Mideast League)<br \/>\nColors: Blue and Gold<br \/>\nPlayoff appearances: 2 (2010, 2011)<br \/>\nCoach: Ted Karras Jr. (5th year, 34-21; overall 48-37 including three years at Rose-Hulman)<br \/>\nKey games: 19-14 win at then #25 Grand View on 9\/3; 40-13 win at then #6 Saint Francis (IN) on 10\/15; 27-9 win over then #1 Saint Xavier on 11\/5<br \/>\nOffense: 41.8 ppg, 429.0 ypg<br \/>\nDefense: 5.9 ppg, 202.7 ypg<br \/>\nPassing offense: 218.8 ypg<br \/>\nPassing defense: 128.9 ypg<br \/>\nRushing offense: 210.2 ypg<br \/>\nRushing defense: 73.8 ypg<br \/>\nTurnover margin: +6<br \/>\nKey players: QB Adam Weise (69.5%, 1864 yds, 15 TD, 6 INT), RB Tevin Lake (167-927, 92.7 ypg, 14 TD), WR\/KR Julian Williams (49-791, 79.1 ypg, 5 TD; 5-209 KR, 41.8 ypr, 2 TD), DB Dustin Craig (6 INT), DL Seth Vondersaar (5.5 sacks, 13.5 TFL)<br \/>\nOther notes: Coach Karras is the nephew of Hall-of-Famer Alex Karras.  They&#8217;re #1 for a reason; they have the best defense in the NAIA.  Those three key games?  Take those out, and Marian outscored their opponents 332-23.  That&#8217;s an average score of 49-3, and then you consider SFIN didn&#8217;t really do much better than that?  Yikes.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Jon&#8217;s Prediction:<\/span><br \/>\nMarian 38, Grand View 7.  Yes, Grand View played the Knights much closer earlier this year.  But that&#8217;s the point; that was the season opener for both teams.  Since then, the only team that&#8217;s even stayed within three touchdowns has been Saint Xavier.  It&#8217;s going to be a blowout.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s the first part of the NAIA first round playoff preview, featuring the teams in the top half of the bracket.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[7,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1168","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-division-news-and-notes","category-naia"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p185sV-iQ","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1168","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1168"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1168\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1170,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1168\/revisions\/1170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1168"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1168"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/jonfmorse.com\/tog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1168"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}